Thứ Ba, 23 tháng 7, 2013

Business news and markets: live


16.07 Are things looking up in the eurozone? According to consumer

confidence figures, they could be, slightly.



Latest survey results show consumer morale improved more than expected in

July
, rising to its highest level in almost two years. The European

Commission’s consumer confidence index rose to -17.4 in July
from

-18.8 in June and -21.9 in May – the eighth successive monthly increase from

a three-and-a-half year low of-26.7 in November 2012.



This is still low by historical standards- as economist Howard Archer

points out, the long-term average between 1990 and 2013 stands at -13.2.

Nonetheless, he thinks the current reading is promising:



b7f94 quotes 1817837a Hopefully, improving consumer confidence and the help to purchasing power

coming from muted inflation across the Eurozone (just 1.6pc in June) will

provide increasing support to consumer spending and help Eurozone economic

activity to stabilize and then finally start growing over the latter months

of 2013.



Even so, a marked overall pick up in Eurozone consumer spending still looks

unlikely in the near term at least. Despite being at a 23-month high in

July, confidence is still limited compared to long-term norms while Eurozone

consumers continue to largely face high and rising unemployment, generally

muted wage growth and tight fiscal policy. This is particularly, the case in

the southern periphery countries but it is also true for countries such as

France and the Netherlands.




15.43 The Royal baby will be worth £521 million to the UK economy,

according to Brand Finance.



The boost will come from a combination of a short term spending spree on

souvenirs, memorabilia, food and drink; a longer lasting uplift to related

products such as pushchairs and clothing; and the benefit of improved

consumer sentiment is behind the impressive figure.



They break it down as follows:



Source: Brand Finance




15.26 US markets are open and they have not all followed Asia and

Europe higher.



The Dow Jones is up 0.3pc but the SP 500 is down 1.5pc and

the Nasdaq is is down 0.3pc.




15.11 MA alert – US computer network giant Cisco Systems

has announced plans to buy cybersecurity firm Sourcefire in a deal

worth $2.7 billion.



Cisco will pay $76 per share in cash for Sourcefire and assume outstanding

equity awards for a total of $2.7 billion under the deal, which has been

approved by the board of directors of each company.



Cisco vice president Hilton Romanski said:



Sourcefire aligns well with Cisco’s future vision for security and supports

the key pillars of our security strategy.



Through our shared view of the critical role the network must play in

cybersecurity and threat defense, we have a unique opportunity to deliver

the most comprehensive approach to security in the market.





15.02 Some more positive news for the eurozone – in Ireland property

prices registered their highest monthly increase
in June since the

housing market crashed more than half a decade ago.



Nationwide, residential prices rose by 1.2 per cent on May according to the

Central Statistics Office.



Compared to June 2012, prices were also up by 1.2 per cent, the first time

since 2008 that prices have risen over a 12 month period.



The June increase marked the third consecutive month of rising prices. That

followed four months in a row of declining prices.




The Ha’penny Bridge over the Liffey in Dublin





14.44 Markets in Europe have continued to climb in Tuesday’s trading,

most notably in the periphery.



In Spain the Ibex is up 2pc, after official data showed the economy

contracted by just 0.1pc, the smallest drop since late 2011.



In Portugal the PSI 20 is up 1.7pc.



In Italy the FTSE Mib is up 0.9pc



In Paris the Cac is up 0.2pc, as is the Dax in Germany.



In London the FTSE 100 is up 0.3pc




14.27 There is some more good news for Britain (see Bentley

story at 11.11) – Chevron has awarded £550m of North Sea contracts to

British oil service companies.



One of its projects, Rosebank (Chevron`s first deep water development

in the UK, about 80 miles north -west of the Shetland Islands), has been

awarded to OneSubsea (formerly Cameron Limited).



Three contracts have been awarded for the Alder project (about 100

miles from Scottish coastline), also to UK vendors – Technip, OneSubsea

and Aker Solutions.



Following the announcement of the contracts, Energy Minister Michael Fallon said:



b7f94 quotes 1817837a Today`s announcement by Chevron is very good news for the UK economy and

our world-class supply chain. The North Sea is seeing a resurgence of

investment and it is great to see companies like Chevron recognising that

`made in Britain` is a hallmark for the highest quality.



From Aberdeen, Leeds and Newcastle this half a billion pound investment

will support hundreds of highly skilled jobs in engineering, design and

manufacturing.



The Rosebank and Alder projects are worth billions of pounds and will

unlock significant new oil and gas reserves. They demonstrate how

development in technology and the right relationship between government and

industry boosts production and provides energy security, jobs and investment.




Chevron project




14.03 George Osborne’s Help

to Buy is ‘very dangerous’,
the Institute of Directors has

warned.



The Chancellor wants to underwrite £130 billion of mortgage lending with state

guarantees in an attempt to help people struggling to buy a property.



The first stage of Help to Buy was launched in April and offers loans

to give people the chance to buy a new-build home with a deposit of just 5

per cent.



The scheme has been credited with driving a surge in home sales and driving up

prices.



Graeme Leach, chief economist at the IoD, has attacked the scheme and

said it will “drive up prices”.



He said:



b7f94 quotes 1817837a The housing market needs help to supply, not help to buy and the extension

of this scheme is very dangerous,.



Government guarantees will not increase the supply of homes, but they will

drive up prices at a time when it seems likely that house prices are already

over-valued.



When the scheme is withdrawn any rise in prices that has taken place will

be undermined, with potentially disastrous results. There is a real risk

that the housing market will become dependent on the underwriting by

government, making it very difficult politically to shut the scheme down.



Mr Leach added:



b7f94 quotes 1817837a This should be of great concern. The world must have gone mad for us to now

be discussing endless taxpayer guarantees for mortgages.



The warning came after Osborne unveiled more, but somewhat limited, details

of the Scheme
in a meeting at Number 11 with housebuilders and mortgage

lenders this morning.



Guarantees will only be available to borrowers who can afford the mortgages,

while those with impaired credit ratings will be excluded, the Treasury

insisted. It will include income checks and stress testing.



Guarantees will also not be available for second home purchases, and lenders

will be required to collect a declaration stating that the borrower has no

interest a property anywhere else in the world. It will not be able to be

used in conjunction with another state scheme.



Lenders will pay a fee to use the guarantee, based on loan-to-value banding –

although that fee has not been confirmed.





13.43 More on China. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard says once

again, the country has “capitulated”
.



Once again, China has concluded that it is too dangerous to let the Ponzi

Scheme collapse.



First we had an article in Xinhua saying that growth below 7pc would “not

be tolerated”.



Now we have a clear statement from Premier Li Keqiang that growth must not

fall below the government’s “lower limit” of 7.5pc for 2013, and 7pc

thereafter.



Already we hear talk of more investment on railway projects, social

housing, infrastructure, green energy, sewage, broadband and G4, the tried

and tested levers of fiscal stimulus.



Ting Lu from Bank of America calls it the “Li Keqiang Put”. That is

certainly what it looks like.



Moves last week to liberalise interest rates were seen by many in China –

though not all – as a disguised way to lower borrowing costs and avert a

wave of bankruptcies.



So there we are, the on-again off-again credit boom may soon be on once

more, even though each extra yuan of credit now generates less than 0.2 yuan

of growth compared to 0.85 before the Great Recession.



It all feels like last summer when the authorities responded to the sharp

slowdown (hard landing?) by cranking up stimulus.





13.17 More figures from the BBA (see 10.01) – net lending to

companies rose last month for the first time since January
in a sign

that business confidence is improving as the economic recovery gathers pace.



Net borrowing by non-financial firms edged £172m higher in June against a

£2.7bn net repayment in May.



The BBA said the data, which also showed the number of mortgages approved by

banks to home buyers soared to a 17-month high in June, signalled progress

in the wider economy.



David Dooks, BBA statistics director, said:



b7f94 quotes 1817837a Second quarter gross domestic product is expected to have strengthened and

as economic conditions improve the banks are providing the finance to help

growth.



The data fuels hopes that the Bank of England and Treasury’s Funding for

Lending Scheme (FLS) is starting to have a positive impact after it was

extended in April and tweaked to boost small business lending.





12.55 British drinks giant Diageo

is set to complete its acquisition of ShuiJingFang
, a leading

manufacturer of China’s national drink baijiu, in a major coup for a

foreign company.



The maker of Smirnoff vodka and Johnnie Walker whiskey has paid £233m to

buy the 47pc stake in ShuiJingFang
HoldCo it did not already own,

sealing its place as sole owner.



The move is a major coup for a foreign company operating in China, where domestic

brands are closely guarded
, and forms part of Diageo’s overall drive to

increase its presence in emerging markets.



Phil Carroll, analyst at Shore Capital., said:



b7f94 quotes 1817837a Given the clear high barriers to entry for such assets, we believe this

deal should position Diageo well for the future.



Diageo has gradually increased its stake in the company since buying into it

six years ago, and became one of the first foreign companies to gain a

majority stake in a Chinese corporation in 2011. Back then, it raised its

holding from 49pc to 53pc in a hard-fought battle which involved intensive

lobbying by the British government.



Its sole ownership of ShuiJingFang HoldCo in turn raises its holding in the

associated listed entity, known as Sichuan ShuiJingFang, from 21.05pc to

39.71pc. Such a corporate structure, while unusual in the west, is typical

in China.




ShuiJingFang




12.41 Turkey’s central bank has been making some changes to its rates.




but…





12.21 NSI has cut

Premium Bonds for 22 million savers and has also changed the allocation of

prizes
, making it harder to win bigger sums (I thought it was

already quite tough).



Personal finance editor Richard Dyson reports:



National Savings Investments will chop the total value of prize

money paid to Premium Bond investors from August 1. The “prize rate”

– the average return on the whole fund – will drop from 1.5pc of the total

invested to 1.3pc.



The news – predicted

by Telegraph.co.uk in June
– will be a blow to the 22m investors in

the bonds, and is the latest grim news for depositors who are seeing rates

fall on all fronts.



From August the monthly value of Premium Bond prizes distributed will fall

from £57m to £49m.



Apart from the drop in overall payout, the spread of prizes is also being

tweaked – with the result that fewer larger prizes will be won. So although

one £1m prize will continue to be one each month, the number of £100,000

prizes will fall on average from five to three. And the number of £50,000

prizes will drop from nine per month to six.



Lower down the scale fewer prizes will also be won, but the drop is

smaller. The number of £25 prizes won per month, for instance, drops from

1.8m to 1.7m.



In total, the odds of a £1 bond number winning anything in any month drops

from 1/24,000 to 1/26,000.




NSI is cutting rates to deter depositors




12.11 Shares in bookmarker Ladbrokes are on the rise today,

having gained 1pc on the back of a bullish analyst note from Morgan

Stanley
. The brokers’ betting experts lifted their rating on the group

to “equal weight” from “underweight” and said:



b7f94 quotes 1817837a Ladbrokes is repositioning its online division, and while catching up with

peers will be challenging, we think its online business will start to

improve sharply in 2014. We see Ladbrokes online starting to deliver

promising results from H2 2013, and with an improving economic outlook in

the UK suggesting some recovery in retail in 2014, we upgrade Ladbrokes to

Equal-weight.





11.44 Back to the Bentley factory in Crewe (see 11.11),

Dave has tweeted a picture of himself visiting the site.




David Cameron at the Bentley factory in Crewe.




11.36 Over to Greece – Prime Minister Antonis Samaras has

told key cabinet members in the two-party coalition to speed up structural

reforms
in the state sector in order to meet the targets set by the

country’s international creditors.



ekathimerini.com
reports:



Meeting at his Maximos Mansion headquarters, Samaras, his coalition partner

and Deputy Prime Minister Evangelos Venizelos, and Finance Minister Yannis

Stournaras, called for more urgency from the ministers of Interior Yiannis

Michelakis, Administrative Reform Kyriakos Mitsotakis, Education

Constantinos Arvanitopoulos, Development Costis Hadzidakis and Health Adonis

Georgiadis.



The meeting addressed progress made so far in plans to streamline the

public administration with the induction of thousands of civil servants into

a so-called mobility scheme where they will get reduced pay ahead of

transfer or dismissal.



A plan for restructuring of Hellenic Defense Systems (EAS), the Hellenic

Vehicles Industry (ELVO) and the Larco mining company, was also on the

agenda.



According to sources, the prime minister and ministers expressed their

intention to avoid any more horizontal cuts and to focus instead of a

shake-up of all ministries, and especially that of Education.



The creditors want to see progress in agreed changes to the public

administration as a condition for releasing further life-saving funding.




Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras




11.23 Chinese police

have detained two more AstraZeneca employees
, but the company

continued to insist it is not under wider investigation, our Beijing

correspondent Malcolm Moore has discovered.



He reports:



On Friday, police visited AstraZeneca’s main sales office in central

Shanghai and detained one employee for questioning.



That person has now been released, but two more senior employees, both

thought to be district sales managers, were taken away by police on Tuesday.



The move will raise fears that AstraZeneca could become embroiled into an

investigation into its sales practices.



“We still have no reason to believe that this is connected to any

other investigation,” said a spokesman for AstraZeneca. “The

information we are getting from the police is that this is an individual

case, but we are still in the process of getting more information,” he

added.



GlaxoSmithKline, which was the first company to be accused by the Chinese

government of bribing doctors in order to win sales, has moved to distance

itself from its four Chinese executives under detention.




Police in China have released on AstraZeneca worker and detained a more

senior staffer.




11.11 Some good news for the UK – luxury car maker Bentley is to

create more than 1,000 jobs
with the development of a new model.



The SUV, the company’s fourth model, will be built at the firm’s site in Crewe

and will go on sale in 2016, with an investment of £800 million.



Dr Martin Winterkorn, chairman of the board of Volkswagen Group, said

it had chosen the UK as it was a “competitive location for industrial

production”.



Prime Minister David Cameron, who visited the factory today, said:



b7f94 quotes 1817837a This £800 million investment and 1,000 new jobs from Bentley is fantastic

news for both Crewe and for the UK as a whole. It is another important

milestone in strengthening our economy.



One sector that we know is sprinting ahead in the global race is our

booming automotive industry.



One vehicle rolls off a production line somewhere in the UK every 20

seconds and we have just launched the Government’s Automotive Industrial

Strategy to help continue this success for years to come.



Business Secretary Vince Cable added:



b7f94 quotes 1817837a This is a welcome commitment to the UK from a major international

car-maker. Our automotive industrial strategy proves this Government’s

commitment to working with world-class companies like Bentley to create jobs

and promote exports.




The new Bentley SUV will resemble the EXP 9 F concept car (pictured) that

was unveiled at the 2012 Geneva motor show.




11.02 George Osborne’s meeting with housebuilders and mortgage lenders

(see 08.55) has been “good”, according to the man himself.



Not very informative.





10.50 Back in the stock market, software company Sage Group, up

3.8pc, is currently topping the FTSE 100 after releasing an

encouraging trading update, in which it confirmed that recent trading had

matched expectations.



But chemical group Croda has lost 4.4pc, making it one of the heaviest

fallers, after issuing first-half results. Numis analyst Charles Pick

said the company’s second-quarter performance had been “slightly

disappointing”.




10.36 Over in France, industrial morale rose slightly more

than expected in July
to its highest in over a year, offering more

evidence that a fragile recovery is taking hold in the euro zone’s

second-biggest economy.



The monthly industry morale indicator improved for the fourth month in a row

to reach 95 in July, from 93 in June, its highest point since May 2012,

according to the official statistics agency INSEE, beating

economists’ average expectation for 94.



There was more positivity for France when its Finance Minister Pierre

Moscovici
declared the recession was over, pointing to forecasts

from the Bank of France and INSEE for growth of 0.2pc in the second quarter

compared to a contraction of 0.2pc in the first.



“Now we need to work to transform this exit from recession into a genuine

recovery,” he said on Europe 1 radio, citing recent measures aimed at

helping to finance companies.




French finance minister Pierre Moscovici




10.18 Some positive news for Spain – its economy shrank by

0.1pc
in the second quarter – the smallest drop since the country slid

into recession at the end of 2011.



The Bank of Spain said:



b7f94 quotes 1817837a Between April and June, confidence indicators showed a progressive

improvement which could point to a more favourable domestic spending in the

next few quarters.



The government has said it expects the economy to emerge from recession by the

third quarter, though many economists are less optimistic, with the

International Monetary Fund seeing economic contraction into next year.



Spain’s economy has been in and out of recession since a property bubble burst

in 2008, with domestic demand dragged down by dire consumer and business

sentiment and only exports helping offset otherwise shrinking output.





10.01 The latest figures from the British Bankers Association

show that mortgage approvals hit a 17-month high in June.



In June 37,278 mortgages were approved, up from 36,290 in May and a 32.4pc

increase in the same month last year.



Howard Archer, chief economist at IHS Global, said today’s figured

added to the plethora of recent data and surveys which indicated that

housing market activity was “now really stepping up a gear”.



He said the government’s Funding for Lending Scheme (FLS) has increased

mortgage availability as it brings interest rates on mortgages down.



b7f94 quotes 1817837a We expect house prices to see solid but relatively limited increases over

the rest of 2013 and to then strengthen more markedly in 2014.



We believe that a strong upward move in house prices is unlikely for now

given a still challenging and somewhat uncertain economic environment

despite recent signs of improvement.



In particular, extended and ongoing very weak earnings growth argues

against a substantial rise in house prices for the time being while consumer

confidence is still relatively muted compared to long-term norms despite

reaching a 25-month high in June.



Housing market activity is also currently still limited compared to

long-term norms despite the recent pick-up in activity.





09.38 Shares in microchip designer Imagination Technologies are

under pressure and have slumped 8.1pc in the FTSE 250 after the

company lost out to rival ARM Holdings, up 0.1pc, to supply Samsung’s

new chip. Liberum Capital analyst Eoin Lambe said:



b7f94 quotes 1817837a Samsung’s new Exynos 5 Octa chip relies on ARM’s Mali-T628 GPU, while the

previous version used an Imagination’s GPU. Samsung is a high volume chip

vendor and is therefore an important customer. The loss of this socket plus

the slow down at Apple (Imagination’s largest royalty payer) will drag on

Imagination’s future royalty revenue.



Meanwhile, easyJet has shed 4.3pc after analysts at HSBC raised

concerns about the impact of Britain’s heatwave. They argued:



b7f94 quotes 1817837a

easyJet’s fourth-quarter profitability depends on the company’s ability to

maximise revenue from last minute bookings. We think demand for holiday

flights will be melting as fast the ice-creams on Clacton beach in the

current heat wave.



They cut their rating on easyJet to “neutral” from “overweight”,

which is undoubtedly an unwelcome move ahead of the group’s third quarter

trading update tomorrow.




09.26 Ryanair’s has issued a strongly

worded statement
which it believes “fatally undermines”

the Competition Commission’s requirement that it sell its 29pc stake

in Aer Lingus which it has held for 6 and a half years.



Ryanair’s Robin Kiely said that today’s offer to sell its stake was to “remove

any remaining shred of credibility from the CC process”,
as the “only

remaining “concern” they can now dream up is that Ryanair’s 29pc

stake “might” prevent another EU airline buying Aer Lingus”.



b7f94 quotes 1817837a Ryanair has now agreed that it will unconditionally sell its 6½ year old

minority stake to any other EU airline which makes an offer for, and

acquires more than 50.1% of, Aer Lingus shares, at the same price and terms

which are accepted by these other 50.1pc of Aer Lingus shareholders.



This remedy unconditionally removes any ability by Ryanair to block any

future takeover of Aer Lingus by another EU airline.



He added that this offer would “eliminate any doubt about this imaginary

albeit non-existent ‘concern’”.



Ryanair said the CC had been “reduced” to “inventing new and

fantastical ‘concerns’” to justify their “premeditated and biased

thinking” that Ryanair should sell down its stake in Aer lingus.



b7f94 quotes 1817837a This bogus CC “concern” has now been fatally undermined thereby

removing any requirement for a divestment of Ryanair’s 6½ year old minority

shareholding which even the CC now admits hasn’t given Ryanair any

influence, and Aer Lingus admits has led to intensified competition to the

benefit of the perhaps 1 or maybe 2 UK consumers who even fly Aer Lingus.





09.05 BREAKING: Low-cost airline Ryanair has offered to sell its

29pc stake in rival airline Aer Lingus.




08.55 Britain’s housebuilders and mortgage lenders have been

summoned to Number 11 today to discuss the second phase of the Chancellor’s

booming Help to Buy Scheme.



Lloyds Banking Group, RBS, Barclays and Nationwide are among the

group called by George Osborne to hear his plans to offer mortgages

to people with just a 5pc deposit from January.



The scheme, through which the Government guarantees loans, has boosted both

housebuilding and lending, but there are fears it could also be creating a

new version of the bubble that caused the crash in the first place.



So far £1.3bn of new houses has been subsidized, according to the FT this

morning. Sir Mervyn King, the former Governor of the Bank of England, said

it should not be extended. Pete Redfern, boss of Taylor Wimpey, has said the

scheme could be a “hazard to the economy” unless a clear exit plan

is laid out.





08.44 While the broader FTSE 100 has moved 0.4pc higher this

morning, exploration group Tullow Oil is the heaviest faller by a

wide margin, sliding 7.5pc on news of a dry well in French Guiana.



The company also said its exploration well off the coast of Mozambique had

found gas, although the discovery was not commercial, which has further

dented confidence in Tullow’s exploration prowess this morning.




08.38 Some corporate news this morning, as Louise Armitstead reports in

her City Briefing morning email.



Premier Foods, the owner of brands including Hovis bread and Mr

Kipling, has posted exceedingly good first-half results with underlying

trading profits up 50pc.



The company’s shares have recently jumped on takeover speculation although its

£875m of net debt and £350m pension deficit is seen as a stumbling block to

any deal.



Today Gavin Darby, chief executive, has said the results show “that

our turnaround strategy is delivering at the bottom line.”



Provident Financial, which provides credit to non-standard consumers,

has said pre-tax profits 7pc before exceptionals or 0.7pc on a reported

basis.



Croda International, the chemical company and one of the FSTE100′s

newer entrants,has reported pre-tax profits of 6.1pc to £68m.



Carpetright has said total sales dropped 3.3pc in the last quarter or

1.9pc on a like-for-like basis.



It’s the Vodafone annual meeting today which will be dominated by the

progress of its deal to buy Kabel Deutschland and the Verizon

question.



Other companies holding their AGMs include Bloomsbury, the Harry Potter

book publishers, and Hogg Robinson.



The interdealer broker Icap is holding an analysts and investors

meeting in London. And later in America, Apple will publish its third

quarter results.





08.22 European markets have had a strong start to Tuesday.



In Germany the Dax is up 0.3pc



In France the Cac is up 0.3pc



In Spain the Ibex is up 1.4pc



In Italy the FTSE Mib is up 0.9pc



In Portugal the PSI 20 is up 0.9pc.




08.17 The positive economic news from China and Japan (see 07.43,

07.55)
has also helped lift market sentiment in London.



The FTSE 100 is up 28 points, or 0.4pc, at 6,651in early deals and the FTSE

250
has put on 34 points, or about 0.2pc.



With China the world’s largest consumer of industrial metals, mining shares

have received a boost and are dominating the risers. Anglo American

has gained 2.2pc, while Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton have both

advanced 1.9pc.





08.04 Asian stocks rose following the announcements from China and

Japan, extending a two-month high.



The MSCI Asia Pacific Index climbed 1pc. The Shanghai Composite Index

jumped 1.6pc.



Hong Kong’s Hang Seng gained 2.2pc.



Japan’s Topix added 0.5pc, while the benchmark Nikkei 225 climbed

0.8pc.



South Korea’s Kospi jumped 1.3pc and Australia’s SP/ASX

200
rose 0.3pc. New Zealand’s NZX 50 advanced 0.6pc,

Taiwan’s Taiex gained 1.4pc and Singapore’s Straits

Times
increased 0.6pc.




07.55 There was also positive news out of China – local media

report quoting Premier Li Keqiang as saying China’s “bottom line”

for GDP growth is 7pc
and the nation can’t let growth go below that,

Beijing News reported today, citing Premier Li’s comments at a recent

meeting with economists and business people.



Li’s statement “helped to reassure investors,” Daphne Roth, Singapore-based

head of Asia equity research at ABN Amro Private Bank, told Bloomberg.



China could introduce some kind of fiscal stimulus to help stabilize the

economy. While there’s a likelihood the Fed will start tapering monetary

stimulus in September, we don’t expect the Fed to start raising rates until

the end of 2014. We remain overweight on equities.



Comments from Vice Premier Zhang Gaoli also helped. He reiterated the

country’s commitment to take decisive measures to support reasonable

infrastructure and social welfare investment to develop the export sector,

service industry and small firms.




Chinese Premier Li Keqiang




07.43 Overnight in Japan, the government upgraded its view on

the economy
for a third straight month, saying deflation was easing and

growth was picking up due to massive monetary fiscal stimulus.



Still, plenty of work is needed to repair public finances.



Japan’s public debt is the largest among major industrialised nations at more

than twice the size of its 500 trillion yen (£3.3 trillion) economy, and the

sales tax hike is considered a test of the government’s commitment to

reform.




Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe




07.30 Some good new for Britain – export

activity is at an all-time high
as confidence continues to return to

the UK economy.



Export orders for Britain’s service sector, which drives more than three

quarters of UK output, increased for 50pc of firms in the second quarter

this year – the highest figure since records began in 2007 – according to

data compiled by DHL and the British Chambers of Commerce.



The DHL/BCC Trade Confidence Index rose to 118.12 in the quarter,

compared with 114.8 in the previous quarter and a long-run average of 100.



The survey of 1,700 businesses also showed that 48pc of exporters said sales

increased in the three months to the end of June, compared with 10pc which

said they decreased.



More firms expect to hire this year, the survey showed, with 31pc of

respondents stating they would employ more staff in 2013.





07.20 The Telegraph had revealed that three

senior Network Rail executives are set to pocket £900,000
for

not leaving their job.



Our transport editor David Millward reports:



Patrick Butcher, the group finance director; Robin Gisby and Simon Kirby

respectively the managing directors for network operations and

infrastructure projects will each get £300,000 “retention payments” next

year if they stay in post.



The proposed “golden handcuffs” rekindled the row over executive bonuses a

the company which is responsible for running the country’s track

infrastructure.



Last week Network Rail rubber stamped a series of bonus payments for the

three men along with Sir David Higgins, the chief executive and Paul

Plummer, the group strategy director.



The bonuses included a new long term incentive package, first disclosed by

The Daily Telegraph, worth 100 per cent of the five men’s annual salary,

which would be paid in 2015 if performance targets are met



This is in addition to the annual performance bonuses worth up to 60 per

cent of salary along with substantial pension and other benefits which,

according to Network Rail’s accounts, cost the company just over a million a

year in addition to their salary.





07.10 In The Telegraph‘s business section, Szu Ping Chan

reports that painful

eurozone austerity measures have failed to reduce the ballooning debt piles

of bailed-out nations
, with official figures revealing that the

17-nation bloc’s debt burden hit an all-time high in the first three months

of the year.



Total eurozone debt as a proportion of annual gross domestic product (GDP)

stood at a record €8.75 trillion (£7.5 trillion) in the three months to the

end of March, or 92.2pc of GDP, up from €8.6 trillion in the previous

quarter and €8.34 trillion the year before.



Bailed-out nations Greece, Portugal and Ireland saw some of the biggest

rises, even after implementing austerity measures imposed by Brussels in an

attempt to balance the books.



Greece’s debt rose to 160.5pc of GDP from 156.9pc in the first quarter

compared with the final three months of 2012, while Portugal’s debt burden

rose to 127.2pc from 123.8pc. Germany and Estonia were the only countries to

reduce their public debt.



Meanwhile, Portuguese prime minister Pedro Passos Coelho ruled out a snap

election and confirmed he would make junior coalition party leader Paulo

Portas his deputy, sending the country’s benchmark borrowing costs down 0.5

percentage points, to 6.31pc. Total eurozone debt as a proportion of annual

gross domestic product (GDP) stood at a record €8.75 trillion (£7.5

trillion) in the three months to the end of March, or 92.2pc of GDP, up from

€8.6 trillion in the previous quarter and €8.34 trillion the year before.



Bailed-out nations Greece, Portugal and Ireland saw some of the biggest

rises, even after implementing austerity measures imposed by Brussels in an

attempt to balance the books.



Greece’s debt rose to 160.5pc of GDP from 156.9pc in the first quarter

compared with the final three months of 2012, while Portugal’s debt burden

rose to 127.2pc from 123.8pc. Germany and Estonia were the only countries to

reduce their public debt.



Meanwhile, Portuguese prime minister Pedro Passos Coelho ruled out a snap

election and confirmed he would make junior coalition party leader Paulo

Portas his deputy, sending the country’s benchmark borrowing costs down 0.5

percentage points, to 6.31pc.





07.05 A quick look at the business pages this morning.



The Times reports carries the story that the former

Bank of England governor will return to the world of academia this autumn


when he takes up a visiting professorship for a term in Manhattan.



In his first appointment since leaving the Bank at the end of last month, Lord

King of Lothbury has taken up a temporary post at the New York University

Stern School of Business and New York University School of Law.



The Independent reports that local

communities are set to lose control over key environmental decisions

affecting whether fracking can go ahead
within their midst, it is

claimed.



Campaigners opposing the industrial-scale exploitation of shale gas reserves

in the British countryside said the Government has removed key democratic

controls in its dash to bring unconventional energy resources on stream.



The Financial Times reports that the UK

housing market has been given a sharp jolt by the government’s flagship Help

to Buy scheme
, subsidising an estimated £1.3bn-worth of house

purchases in the past four months



Nearly 7,000 new-build homes have been reserved through the scheme since its

launch in April by George Osborne as a centrepiece of the chancellor’s 2013

budget moves to revive the economy. This is equivalent to more than a third

of sales of such property over this period, according to estimates by industry

insiders




07.00 Good morning and welcome to our daily business and markets live

blog, your one stop shop for all the breaking business stories of the day.



Business news and markets: live

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