No city in America reinvents itself more often than Las Vegas,
and after a few quiet years on The Strip, the skyline is about to
change again.
James Packer, an Australian billionaire and chairman of
Crown Resorts, recently bought the land that once held the New
Frontier casino, located north of the Fashion Show Mall. The
34.6-acre property will house the latest megaresort in Las Vegas
and is located just south of an 87-acre property recently bought
by Genting Group, which is building the $4 billion Resorts
World Las Vegas.
The former New Frontier Hotel, which will be the site of The
Strip’s newest megaresort. Photo source: KyleLV via
Wikimedia
.
These two properties are being developed while resorts on the
Las Vegas Strip continue to struggle financially, and when
completed they will add capacity to an area that will arguably be
oversupplied for the next decade. But reasons for these moves can
be found if you dig deep enough behind the headlines.
The changing face of Las Vegas
First, let’s cover exactly what we know about what Packer and
Genting Group want to build.
Genting Group is building an Asian-themed resort on the site
that once held the Stardust hotel and casino, a property
Boyd Gaming
tore down to build the $4 billion resort Echelon Place. Those
plans were abandoned when the economy went into free fall in
2008, and the partially constructed resort was sold to Genting
Group for $350 million. Genting intends to build on the existing
foundation and construct a resort that some estimate could cost
as much as $7 billion to complete.
The abandoned Echelon Palace site, which will soon become
Resorts World Las Vegas. Photo source: Bobak Ha’Eri via
Wikimedia
.
Genting’s plan is to construct the resort in three phases with
Phase 1 including 3,000 hotel rooms, 3,500 slot machines and
table games, and 30 food and beverage locations. Construction of
the first phase is planned to be complete in 2017.
Packer’s plans are in a much earlier phase: Construction is
expected to begin next year, with completion targeted for 2018.
While a smaller footprint for the site means a smaller scale than
Resorts World Las Vegas should be expected, the budget will still
be in the billions.
Why Las Vegas and why now?
The Las Vegas Strip isn’t exactly a booming market right now. The
region still hasn’t reached gaming levels seen in 2007, and
supply had already been added to the market in recent years
by CityCenter and Cosmopolitan, among other smaller hotel
resorts.
But Las Vegas’ gaming revenue is recovering from recession
lows more quickly than other regions in the U.S., particularly
Atlantic City, New Jersey. The chart below shows that Atlantic
City continues to see gaming revenue fall in the face of
increased regional competition; meanwhile, Las Vegas is on the
road to recovery.
Source: Las Vegas Gaming Commission and New Jersey Division of
Gaming Enforcement.
Another attraction to Las Vegas is the fairly open market for
gaming operators, unlike booming Asian gaming markets such as
Macau, Singapore, and The Philippines. These Asian markets are
restricted to a small number of players who had to win
competitive bids to enter the market while the number of gaming
companies in Las Vegas isn’t as restricted. As long as Packer and
Genting Group pass a stringent regulatory compliance check they
can enter the market.
It isn’t that they’ve ignored the Asian market. In fact,
Genting has one of two licenses and casinos in Singapore and
Packer’s Crown Resorts is a partner in
Melco Crown
, which is one of six concessionaires in Macau. Singapore
isn’t expanding beyond two casinos any time soon while Macau’s
buildout of the Cotai region is under way, including a resort
from Melco Crown. Beyond the resorts they already have operating
or under construction in Asia, there just aren’t many attractive
opportunities to expand in Asia, so they looked to Las Vegas. It
may be a risky move, but it’s one they felt was needed to build a
presence in one of the world’s best-known gaming markets.
Can the new generation of Las Vegas megaresorts
succeed?
The challenge now is building a resort that can be profitable,
which is harder than it seems. The Cosmopolitan — the newest
megaresort on The Strip — has reported annual losses of about
$100 million per year since opening in 2010, and CityCenter just
reported a $2.1 million operating loss for the
second quarter.
What Packer and Genting have going for them in Las Vegas is
location. I recently highlighted that north Strip residents
Wynn
and Encore Las Vegas make up the most profitable resort on The
Strip
, while neighbors The Venetian and Palazzo Las Vegas are also
doing well targeting upscale customers.
You can see below that EBITDA — a proxy for cash flow — of
$331 million from CityCenter over the past year doesn’t exactly
show a solid return on the $8.7 billion investment. But resorts
on the north side of The Strip have fared better and show that
decent returns are available.
Property
Construction Cost
EBITDA (
TTM
)
Wynn and Encore Las Vegas
$5 billion
$501.4 million
Venetian and Palazzo Las Vegas
$3.3 billion
$321.1 million
CityCenter
$8.7 billion
$331 million
Source: Company earnings releases. TTM = trailing 12
months.
As Genting Group and James Packer build Las Vegas’ newest
megaresorts, they’ll be betting that this city as a whole can
continue to grow and that the north side of The Strip can attract
more traffic. It’s a risky move, but I wouldn’t bet against these
two as they are the latest to reshape the skyline of Las
Vegas.
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The article
Las Vegas Is Getting Another Facelift
originally appeared on Fool.com.
manages an account that owns shares of Wynn Resorts,
Limited. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks
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Las Vegas Is Getting Another Facelift
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