Thứ Sáu, 5 tháng 4, 2013

Kiwis Say "Ni Hao" as China Ties Trump Australia Sales: Economy

Chinese visitors to The Rees Hotel

in Queenstown can have Chicken Congee for breakfast, watch their

favorite dramas from back home on TV, then speak to reception in

Mandarin to book a jet-boat ride on Lake Wakatipu.


At the Alpine Resort Wanaka an hour away, owner Simone

Hildebrand moved to Hong Kong in July to better service the

mainland, boosting the proportion of Chinese customers to about

10 percent from 2 percent. The efforts underscore the growing

importance of China to the New Zealand economy and businesses

from tourism to commodities.


Prime Minister John Key flies to China today with a

business mission to further cement ties with a market that

overtook Australia as New Zealand’s biggest export destination

in January and February. Tourists from the Asian giant are the

second-biggest spenders in the country, which together with

growing demand for Kiwi products from milk powder to logs have

helped sustain growth as a strong currency hurts manufacturers.


“China is providing an important offset,” said Annette Beacher, head of Asia-Pacific research for TD Securities Inc. in

Singapore. “The size of China means that all you need is the

increasing wealth and urbanization in China and New Zealand will

be a direct beneficiary.”


China is New Zealand’s largest market for milk powder, logs

and wool, making it a key customer for an economy in which about

60 percent of exports are commodities. When fears of a slowdown

in China emerged last year, there was a slump in confidence in

New Zealand that saw economic growth slow to 0.2 percent in the

second and third quarters of 2012.


China Boost


China’s economy revived, as did demand for New Zealand

exports. Shipments to China rose 49 percent to NZ$787 million

($662 million) in February from a year earlier, a March 26

government report showed, overtaking for a second month those to

Australia, which has been the biggest since mid-1987. The value

of milk powder exports surged 80 percent.


“China is increasingly important to us,” said Craig Ebert, senior economist at Bank of New Zealand Ltd. in

Wellington. “Commodities are their game. That’s another reason

we’re hooked in to them.”


Fonterra Cooperative Group Ltd. (FCG), which accounts for about a

third of the global trade in dairy products and collects milk

from 10,500 New Zealand farmers, expects dairy demand in China

will double by 2020. The Auckland-based company is developing

five farms in Hebei province as part of a strategy to provide

high quality fresh milk there, and it plans to offer infant

formulas under its own Anmum brand in selected Chinese cities

from mid-year.


Rapid Growth


“China is going very well,” Chief Executive Officer Theo Spierings said on a March 27 conference call. “It is growing

from a small base. The footprint has to grow faster.”


Key will meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping during his

visit to mark the fifth anniversary of a free trade agreement

between the two nations.


“New Zealand’s post-FTA trade and investment growth with

China has helped to lessen the impact from the recent global

financial crisis,” Key said March 25. His delegation, which

will include other government ministers and representatives of

companies such as kiwifruit exporter Zespri, visits Guangzhou,

Shanghai and Beijing over eight days.


Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard also begins a five-

day visit to China today that will promote trade, investment and

education, and will meet with President Xi at the Bo’ao Forum

and Premier Li Keqiang in Beijing.


Japan Surge


Elsewhere in Asia, Japanese shares jumped to a 4 1/2-

year high, the yen dropped and bond yields fell to a record low

as the central bank expanded stimulus. The Bank of Japan (8301) will

double the monetary base by the end of 2014 through buying

government bonds, joining the Federal Reserve in taking

unprecedented stimulus to boost their economies.


Later today, a report may show factory orders in Germany

rose in February after an unexpected fall a month earlier, an

economists’ survey shows. Euro-zone retail sales probably fell

in February, economists predicted.


In the U.S., non-farm payrolls probably increased 190,000

in March, according to the median of 87 economists in a

Bloomberg survey. The U.S. trade deficit was probably little

changed in February, Commerce Department figures are projected

to show.


New Zealand’s economy grew 3 percent in the fourth quarter

of 2012 from a year earlier, buoyed by a global recovery.

Policymakers are looking for exports to sustain economic growth

as the government curbs spending to eliminate its budget deficit

and the currency’s 9.2 percent gain in the past two years forces

manufacturers to close plants and fire workers.


Wine Shipments


“The downside risks around global growth have receded,”

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Governor Graeme Wheeler said in a

March 14 monetary policy statement. Prices for New Zealand

exports are rising, in part reflecting the improving global

conditions, he said.


China’s gross domestic product expanded 7.9 percent in the

final three months of last year after a 7.4 percent gain in the

previous quarter. By contrast, Australia’s economy outside

mining and related infrastructure investment has been patchy,

curbing demand for New Zealand goods.


In February, New Zealand shipments to Australia of wine,

electrical machinery, refrigerators and other mechanical

appliances led a 9.2 percent decline in exports from a year

earlier. Crude oil and aluminum sales also fell.


New Zealand’s wine industry is tapping increasing wealth

and an emerging middle class to boost sales in China, which have

increased about tenfold in the past four years, according to

Charlotte Read, Asia and Middle East Market Manager for Villa

Maria Estate Ltd., which last year celebrated 50 years making

wine at its original site south of Auckland.


‘Exciting’ Market


“The opportunity lies with the young, educated, middle

class who surf the Net and will increasingly travel and embrace

a more western lifestyle,” Read said in an interview from

Shanghai where she is based. “The pace with which this market

can change is very exciting. It could double or be three times

the size in the next five or 10 years.”


Villa Maria, which produces a range of wines including

sauvignon blanc, pinot noir and merlot, has had a presence in

China since 2000 when it began supplying Shanghai’s M on the

Bund Restaurant. It will supply wine to a dinner for invited

business guests hosted by Key at the Fairmont Peace Hotel in

Shanghai next week.


Chinese visitors became New Zealand’s second-biggest

spenders from abroad in the year ended Sept. 30, according to

government figures, behind Australians.


Mandarin Speaker


Chinese spending rose 42 percent to NZ$651 million in the

year ended Dec. 31, 2012 — the only one of New Zealand’s top

four visitor markets to show an increase in spending. The

Chinese are also second-ranked in terms of average spend per

person, lagging behind Japanese visitors.


New Zealand’s hotels are making the most of the boom.


“When one of our groups arrive, we always have a Mandarin

speaker at the desk,” General Manager Mark Rose said in an

interview from The Rees Hotel, which boasts floor-to-ceiling

windows offering views of the mountain ranges that featured in

the Lord of the Rings movies. “They get information in

Mandarin. It makes life easier for us and makes them more

comfortable.”


To lure more Chinese visitors to the Alpine Resort Wanaka,

an apartment-style hotel with views of the Southern Alps about

an hour’s drive from Queenstown, Hildebrand has hired two

marketing managers with local language skills in Hong Kong.


The nation needs to attract more independent travelers

rather than those on bus tours, because they are the visitors

who are prepared to spend on jet-boat rides, bungee jumping or

sky diving, she said in an interview.


“Chinese people are becoming more adventurous,” she said.

“They try and do what they can’t do at home. You can’t jump out

of a plane easily in China.”


To contact the reporter on this story:

Tracy Withers in Wellington at

twithers@bloomberg.net


To contact the editor responsible for this story:

Stephanie Phang at

sphang@bloomberg.net



Kiwis Say "Ni Hao" as China Ties Trump Australia Sales: Economy

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